Advanced Analytics

All simple, deterministic spreadsheets have one thing in common. Their answer is always wrong. When uncertainty is applied, an assessed range of outcomes gives you the confidence that the results will fall within an expected range of possibilities. KCA’s advanced analytics incorporate uncertainty in calculating business cases, portfolio performance, and scenario planning.

ESTABLISHED INDUSTRIES

Many companies use similar calculations to forecasting prices or demand, but fail to apply the approach to broader, more impactful issues:

What uncertainties drive future demand for our product and how can these be combined into scenarios of possible “future states”?

What is the range of performance for my sub-businesses, and how will that affect my overall corporate performance?

What is the likelihood we’ll perform at or below budget targets?

What is the likelihood my project will be above or below my expectation?

START UP BUSINESSES

What are the key things I need to worry about in the next 12 months, what can I defer as having small impacts to my success?

How can my business disrupt established businesses? How do I plan for their reaction?

How can I apply optionality to cover multiple “bets” on different possible outcomes?

 

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